Thursday, September 17, 2009

Report: Microvision Held Their Annual Shareholder Meeting on September 15, 2009 (Addendum)

Report Addendum:

There are a few more tit bits of information that I have gathered from the various participants. These are essentially answers to one-on-one questions by the individual participants [and not part of the general presentation] and as such may account for inconsistency of some of the answers.

Financing:

Alex said there will most likely be another round of financing at some point.

Past Delays:

The past delays were not the fault of Microvision… but they were in securing the supply pipeline. Also, the move from prototype to mass production unit had some speed bumps…and that is not unexpected.

Embedded PicoP:

Considering the past delays and progress made to-date, an embedded PicoP projector for cell phones by this Christmas won’t happen… next Christmas, maybe! But, what is real is that this thing will move forward, on its own timetable, and it will succeed. However, there are many other embedded solutions [like in laptops] that will happen lot sooner. Expect to see embedded projectors in 2010, and eyewear is slated for 2011.

Product Launch:

The product launch strategy in the near term consists of three parts:

1. Private label marketing by third parties… where Microvision supplies the final product like SWOWwx to the OEMs and they slap on their own logo and use their own packaging. In such a scenario, the OEMs are expected to do their own warranty, service and support.

2. International distribution… presents a stronger market at present, as Asian and European countries take up new technology faster, and at better premiums prices than in the US. Also, the weak dollar makes American goods a compelling bargain to the foreigners.

3. Microvision sells from their website… The motivating factor here seems to be the margins and more importantly… to prove to the large OEM players that Microvision has its supply chain in place and can mass produce a reliable product for the humongous market.

Unique Color Controls:

There are 3 settings on the SHOWwx. One is “Inverse” for Power Point presentations, the second is “Natural” and the third is “Vibrant”…and my god is it vibrant! I couldn't take my eyes off the screen… it was like candy to the eyes. It is a color saturation that I haven't seen on even a TV. It is surreal. Its like the next dimension in color…you've got to see it. [A well deserved credit here to EarthKarma for his post]

Major Player in the Imaging Market Place:

“Laser steering projector is the bread and butter of Microvision for the foreseeable future and we are going to focus on the embedded PicoP to make the company profitable.” Believed to be the words of Alex Tokman?

“Microvision is positioning itself thru patents and IP to be a major player in the image community. He (Alex) said: “Microvision is not going to be a small component provider that can be marginalized by bigger players.”

Alex sees the company as an INTEL type company. He is going to make the company a player in the image industry. That explains the “Image by PicoP” as the slogan chosen for the world’s first laser based PicoP projector SHOWwx. Please read my post on…

Yes Virginia: “Its Intel Inside… but Image by PicoP.”
Here’s the link…
Alex mentioned a few things as to why he believes the product [PicoP display engine] is going to be successful…

• Uniqueness: nobody has lasers… nobody is doing what we are doing.

• Thin Form Factor: nobody has our size and nobody can do HD images without getting bigger.

• Longer Battery life: up to 2 hours currently vs. 45 minutes for the competition.

• Infinite focus: nobody else has it.

• Larger screen experience: from 12” to 150” diagonal under certain ambient light conditions.

• Superior small font readability: we are the only one that has 10 pt readable font.

• Uniformity of brightness: Images are uniformly bright from edge to edge, unlike some other competitors.

• No rainbow effect.

• Twice the color gamut (range) of NTSC

• WVGA resolution with sharper image detail
Corning and Osram [the two supply chain partners] are not only improving the laser light technology, but performance and price as well.  The next generation of Green Laser and PicoP display engine will bear this out.

Mass production of laser lights and PicoP display engine is expected to be in 2010.

That pretty much covers what I see in my notes. If I find something else, I’ll get back to you.  Please feel free to comment.

Anant Goel

http://www.wealthbyoptions.com/

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Report: Microvision Held their Annual Shareholders Meeting on September 15th, 2009.

I wasn’t there at the Annual Shareholders Meeting.  However, there were some folks that I know who attended the ASM meeting.  In a summary form and after having resolved the contradicting statements of these participants, this is what they had to say in essence…

• Actually it was quite a good annual meeting and was well attended.

• We were impressed with the PicoP projectors on display. The image has really been cleaned up substantially and looked quite good….very much a real product.

• They had units connected to a variety of things like iPods, iPhones and some laptops… each demonstrating the ease of use, direct downloads from the internet etc. There were some questions about Apple. Our take on Alex T’s answer was something like: “Apple World loves us and we have to be ready… I just ask you that you be patient.” In all probability, Microvision is in talks with “Apple”, however, there isn’t enough unit volume of PicoP display engines for Apple’s appetite at this time to be engaged officially.

• Finally an annual meeting with some smiles all around. Was that due to the very funny and light hearted video being projected… hard to differentiate. However, the mood was very upbeat and reassuring.

• PicoP display engine units will begin shipping about, as Alex said, in the next few weeks and the three (3) customers they have contracts with will be announced in something like the same time period, plus or minus.

• Obviously units between now and the end of this year are going to be scarce and how they are allocated is still being worked out.

• They [Microvision] tried hard to get names [of the 3 customers] for the press release but it just wasn’t possible to make the deadline. But the names should be decent.

• All in all, you have to call it a very constructive meeting and somebody else must have thought so too… given the action of the stock and the volume today.

• We are sure there are lots of comments out there and maybe some different opinions, but we think the ship is moving and finally leaving the port for uncharted waters of PicoP Ubiquity. It will take a while to pick up speed, because of shortage of light sources, but we should see improving news going forward on a reasonably regular basis.

There were a whole lot of other comments with different flavoring to the less critical questions and the following is my take on that…

• Much of what used to be called speckle in the image turned out to be electronic interference and has been eliminated with the latest version of the chips.

• Image quality is much better than what it was before…

http://www.microvision.com/displayground...
• The news from ASM is good… but tempered by the fact that GL light source supply [from both Corning and Osram] is still a very big issue and Microvision will not really get a handle on that until some time in November or so.

• The Press Release from this morning states…

“Microvision Announces Commercial Launch of SHOW WX Laser Pico Projector”

Here’s the link…

http://www.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20090915006111&newsLang=en
There are two tit bits of information in the Press Release that we have not seen before. The first: “Microvision expects to begin product shipments in the next several weeks.” And the second: “Depending on the ambient light, the projected images range in size from 12” to 150”.”

• Is it good news or bad news? In our opinion, this news is good.  How great the news? That is debatable based on who is looking at it… and what investment horizon they have in their mind?

• Finally, after years of waiting for Green Lasers from its supply chain partners, Microvison today announced the long waited laser PicoP Projector for a market that consists of over 2 billion digital devices yearly as potential candidates for adoption.

• To those in the know, it means the Green Laser from Corning and Osram have reached the phase 2 optimum level of 100mw or higher, ASICs are functioning beyond the design expectations in reducing noise and speckle… there are no technological issues with the Green Lasers… and production is ramping-up nicely

• “Depending on the ambient light, the projected images range in size from 12” to 150”.”  To us, this means the brightness of the images has improved to higher levels where 150” diagonal image projection is now possible in certain ambient light condition?  If that is indeed the case, as I suspect it is, then it certainly makes it more appealing to the consumer that is looking for HD image experience in large screen format… and at miniscule energy consumption of a laser based projection technology that is always in focus.

• “Microvision expects to begin product shipments in the next several weeks.”  Some may consider this announcement as another delay and will be disappointed. But the truth is, and perhaps a revelation of these folks ignorance, that a high-tech product is much more complex and requires two steps to a successful “product launch”… just like Corning did with their Green Laser G-1000.  Corning launched their Green Laser G-1000 in May 2008… but did not sign an agreement with Microvision until May 2009.

• What was announced to-day is called “initial product launch”?  Microvision has just finished the first part [product development] of a eight part high-tech product marketing and product launch strategy. Launching a high-tech product like SHOWwx is more complex and requires many a “ducks” to get in line… as compared to launching a mass produced consumer product like a “cereal” or “energy drink”.

Just because the product─ PicoP display engine and the SWOWwx─ is ready doesn’t mean there are no more challenges and hurdles that need resolving. Here’s the list of challenges still facing this company and that’s what, in my humble opinion, may still take a few weeks at least to resolve...

Intellectual Property: You must file your patents and secure your invention records [as proof] to protect your intellectual property. Once the product is launched and is in the hands of your competitors [and pirates] you are sure to invite those who will reverse engineer [and infringe upon your rights] to copy your product… and steal your best employees.

Product: This is the most important part of your entire marketing campaign. Without a great product you don't really have much to work with. For this reason you have to make sure that you have got your market research right. It is very important to make sure that you have met all the requirements that a consumer would want in the product you are offering. You need to make sure that all your products are of great quality and that can be relied on as well… and achieve the trust of your customers. The product you are offering will be the so called first impression on your company's reputation. For this reason it is very important that you get everything right. The main goal in terms of your products is to meet or exceed your customer's expectations.

Supply Chain: Most high-tech products have several supply chain partners. In case of a mass produced product, such as PicoP display engine, all supply chain “ducks” must fall in-line, and kept in-line, to assure volume production and consistent quality over long periods of time… day-in day-out.

Product Price: This is also quite an important factor in more terms that one. Seeing that you will be competing against other competitors, you have to make sure that you offer a price that will make customers want to come and buy your product instead. Don't just price your product out of thin air. Make sure you do your market research and based on the quality and benefits of your product, price your product [both OEM or branded] accordingly. When the production volumes are low, as is the case with PicoP display engines right now, consider offering differentiated value for premium prices.

Packaging: The packaging of your product is also like the first impression of what you have to offer. You need to make sure that your packaging is both attractive and safe. Safe in the sense that it provides adequate protection to the product it is holding. Unless you have an attractive packaging, you won't be able to attract possible customers.

Sales Channels: This is one of the most important factors when it comes to the actual launch of the product. You need to decide on the perfect location, or distribution channel, or a combination that will allow you to maximize the possible customers, maximize margins, optimize sales channel cost, and leverage & network human and financial resources.

The Company plans to distribute its accessory pico projector product through three sales channels: OEM branded products, Microvision branded products sold through international distributors and Microvision direct sales through its on-line store. Microvision has signed several marketing and distribution agreements with international distributors in Asia and Europe to launch Microvision branded and private labeled versions of the laser pico projector.

Warranty, Service & Support: Offer realistic warranty that leverages the reliability features of your product as differentiated value and have the “service & support” infrastructure in-place before launching your product.

Promotion: This has a key role in advertising and the launch of the product itself. You need to carefully decide on the approach that you will promote your product in comparison to your other competitors.

Intel has become one of the world's most recognizable computer brands following its long-running “Intel Inside” campaign. The campaign, which started in 1991, was created by Intel marketing manager Dennis Carter. The five-note jingle was introduced the following year and by its tenth anniversary was being heard in 130 countries around the world.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_Corporation#Logos
“Image by PicoP” is, or so it seems at this early stages of Microvision’s marketing campaign, the slogan [or the champion theme] for its line of laser based PicoP Display Engines. With the commercial launch of SHOWwx today─ the world’s first laser based Accessory PicoP projector─ the Microvision company has laid the foundation for its future marketing campaign by embracing “Image by PicoP” as its champion theme.
http://www.microvision.com/
“Intel Inside” campaign is considered as the most suceesful and key component of Intel’s marketing strategy responsible for the ubiquitous status of its CPUs in the personal computer market place.

How well the “Image by PicoP” campaign will work for Microvision’s PicoP Display Engines remains to be seen as its just the beginning of the journey to achieving the ubiquitous status in the Pico projection market place… that consists of over 2 billion digital devices as potential candidates for adoption.  Here's an article on Image by PicoP & Ubiquity worth reading...
http://mirro7.blogspot.com/2009/09/microvision-from-here-to-picop-ubiquity.html

A good number of Microvision investors continue to demonstrate that they have no clue as to what it takes to bring a disruptive high-tech product to the consumer. As early as this morning, there were those who were throwing temper tantrums because their “self created” company milestones were not met. Someone very eloquently said: “Alex is not some used car salesman trying to rip people off.” He’s the real deal.  Based on his (Alex Tokman - CEO) comments and the way he expressed himself, he sincerely believed that December 2008 stretch goal could have been met… if Corning did not get ahead of itself in projecting green laser availability.

Alex T seems to have learned from this and is being very careful about sharing his expectations for HUD, Eyewear, HD PicoP display engine, and future volume projections to the investor community. He said the final targets will really depend on the manufacturer’s [OEMs] timeframe and would probably occur in the late 2010 to 2011 timeframe. It’s difficult to say since all of their resources are primarily being focused on SHOWwx.

At any rate, I’m fully comfortable with Microvision shipping the pre-launched products in “the next several weeks”.   Microvision ship is leaving port and moving into uncharted waters of "Image by PicoP" ubiquity and the next five years will be very interesting for sure.

Anant Goel
http://www.wealthbyoptions.com/

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Microvision Announces Commercial Launch of SHOW WX Laser Pico Projector

Here’s the link to this news release from this morning…

Microvision Announces Commercial Launch of SHOW WX Laser Pico Projector

http://www.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20090915006111&newsLang=en

****
REDMOND, Wash.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Microvision, Inc. (Nasdaq:MVIS), a global leader in innovative ultra-miniature projection display and image capture products for mobility applications announced the commercial introduction of the world’s first laser-based pico projector, called SHOW WX™, based on its proprietary PicoP® display engine technology.

The Company plans to distribute its accessory pico projector product through three sales channels: OEM branded products, Microvision branded products sold through international distributors and Microvision direct sales through its on-line store. Microvision has signed several marketing and distribution agreements with international distributors in Asia and Europe to launch Microvision branded and private labeled versions of the laser pico projector. Microvision expects to begin product shipments in the next several weeks.

The Microvision pico projector uses the revolutionary laser-based PicoP display engine that delivers large, colorful, bright, and vivid images that are always in focus, regardless of projection distance. The accessory product is a simple plug-n-play pico projector for people on-the-go who want to spontaneously view and share mobile TV, movies, photos, presentations and more. Users can take the pocket-sized projector anywhere, plug it into their portable media players, mobile phones, notebooks and other portable mobile media devices with TV-Out or VGA functionality and share a big screen experience with friends, family or business associates. Depending on the ambient light, the projected images range in size from 12” to 150”.

****
Finally, after years of waiting for Green Lasers from its supply chain partners, Microvison today announced the long waited laser PicoP Projector for a market that consists of over 2 billion digital devices as potential candidates for adoption.

There is also some new and interesting tit bit of information in the press release that we have not seen before. According to the press release…

“Depending on the ambient light, the projected images range in size from 12” to 150”.”

Now, does this mean the brightness of the images has improved to higher levels where 150” image projection is now possible in certain ambient light condition? If that is the case, then it certainly makes it more appealing to the consumer that is looking for HD image experience in large screen format… and at miniscule energy consumption of a laser based projection technology that is always in focus.

Anant Goel
http://www.wealthbyoptions.com/

Yes Virginia: “Its Intel Inside… but Image by PicoP.”

Intel has become one of the world's most recognizable computer brands following its long-running “Intel Inside” campaign. The campaign, which started in 1991, was created by Intel marketing manager Dennis Carter. The five-note jingle was introduced the following year and by its tenth anniversary was being heard in 130 countries around the world.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_Corporation#Logos

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSuaVfpKa7s

Image by PicoP” is, or so it seems at this early stages of Microvision’s marketing campaign, the slogan [or the champion theme] for its line of laser based PicoP Display Engines. With the commercial launch of SHOWwx today─ the world’s first laser based Accessory PicoP projector─ the Microvision company has laid the foundation for its future marketing campaign by embracing “Image by PicoP” as its champion theme.

http://www.microvision.com/

Intel Inside” campaign is considered as the most suceesful and key component of Intel’s marketing strategy responsible for the ubiquitous status of its CPUs in the personal computer market place.

How well the “Image by PicoP” campaign will work for Microvision’s PicoP Display Engines remains to be seen as its just the beginning of the journey to achieving the ubiquitous status in the Pico projection market place… that consists of over 2 billion digital devices as potential candidates for adoption.

http://mirro7.blogspot.com/2009/09/microvision-from-here-to-picop-ubiquity.html

According to Wikipedia…

“An advertising campaign is a series of advertising messages that share a single idea and theme which make up an Integrated Marketing Communications (IMC). The critical part of making an advertising campaign is determining a champion theme, as it sets the tone for the individual advertisements and other forms of marketing communications that will be used. The campaign theme is the central message that will be communicated in the promotional activities. The campaign themes are usually developed with the intention of being used for a substantial period but many of them are short lived due to factors such as being ineffective or market conditions and/or competition in the marketplace and marketing mix.”

Anant Goel
http://www.WealthByOptions.com/

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Microvision: From Here to PicoP Ubiquity

Microvision is a publicly traded company [NASDAQ: MVIS] and has “killer apps”.

It’s the “disruptive technology” called: “Laser based PicoP display engine.” It can bring about massive shifts in “technology paradigm” and “social paradigm”. And if you can ride this technology/social paradigm for long enough [like Intel did with computing], you have a very high probability of being “ubiquitous” [if not out-right industry standard] in the Pico projection space [like Intel is with its “Intel-inside” for CPUs].

In simple terms, paradigm shift is defined as: “A complete change in thinking or belief systems that allow the creation of a new condition previously thought impossible or unacceptable.” Just to make sure we're all on the same page, here's a clear definition of the phrase, which was coined by Thomas Kuhn in his ground-breaking 1962 book, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions:

"Think of a Paradigm Shift as a change from one way of thinking to another. It's a revolution, a transformation, a sort of metamorphosis. It does not just 'happen', but rather it is driven by agents of change."

Most of us understand the definition well. However, we tend to miss the true meaning of the statement: “It does not just ‘happen’, but rather it is driven by agents of change”. If you read carefully and do some research you will see: “those agents of change can cause micro level paradigm shifts with-in a macro level paradigm over a period of time. And in order for your product to become ubiquitous [or an industry standard], you must plan and manage for such constantly changing micro level paradigms [with-in a major paradigm] on an on-going basis over an extended period of time. I know it’s a mouthful, so let’s see what all that means first and then we will apply it to PicoP display technology…

One big example is “The Computing Paradigm Shift” that started in early 1980 when the Personal Computer was first introduced. Few years later, in 1993, John Quarterman of Texas Internet Consulting wrote in the Journal of Organizational computing…

“Over the last five years, there has been a shift from centralized to distributed computing. Timesharing and batch systems still have uses, but the large mainframe is no longer the only way to do computing. Networks have spread computing power, access, and costs beyond centralized computer centers. Personal computers have made computing accessible to many new users. Distributed computing attempts to bring the manageability of mainframe computing together with the accessibility of networked computing and the transparency of personal computing.”

According to the definition of paradigm shift, personal computing represents the macro level paradigm shift. Intel rode this major paradigm for a long time and managed it so well that AMD could not catch-up with Intel for over 20 years. And that gave Intel enough time to become ubiquitous with its CPUs in-side all of the major PC manufacturer’s product line. However, by year 2000, AMD caught-up with Intel and that’s when another paradigm shifts [call it micro paradigm] took place with-in the personal computing paradigm. For example, changes taking place within the PC paradigm were so visible…

“At the Intel Developer Forum, fall of 2005, in San Francisco, there were very few individual products or product groups that represented any new breakthrough relevant to silent computing.

But when you consider the entire range of changes in focus, product development, and marketing messages at Intel over the past year, especially as they culminated at the fall 2005 IDF, it does not seem farfetched to speak of a major paradigm shift.”

The paradigm shift I refer to is being driven by Intel in response to technological, competitive and market forces, and it has three major aspects:
  •  End of the processor clock race, replaced by multi-core processor development.
  • A focus on performance-per-watt and power efficiency.
  • New ways of assessing and ranking performance.
Intel is managing this micro paradigm shift well and has been able to still maintain its leadership in the CPUs product space. However, for a while, during the 1996 thru 2002, Intel got too comfortable with its successes with Pentium 4 and it did not see the micro level paradigm shift coming. During this micro paradigm shift from “clock speed” to “multi-core”─ with-in the personal computing paradigm─ AMD made major progress [against Intel] in capturing market share and almost ran away with the keys to the chicken farm.

Another example is: “the change in thinking created by Just-in-Time that views inventory as a liability, not an asset.”

Now let’s talk about PicoP display technology…

Microvision’s PicoP display engine technology can cause major shift in “technology paradigm” and “social paradigm”. Example of technology paradigm shift would be:
  • Your 2”x 2” screen [on cell phone, smartphone, iPod, iPhone, Blackberry, etc.] now projects to up to 100” high definition quality images [pictures, movies or streaming videos] on any surface… on the fly… always in-focus… and at miniscule power drain on your battery.
  • Your 2”x 2” screen [on digital camera, camcorder] now projects up to 100” HD quality image on any surface… on the fly… always in-focus… and at miniscule power drain on your battery.
  • Your Laptop comes with built-in projector for up to 100” HD quality image on any surface… on the fly… always in-focus… and at miniscule power drain on your battery.
  • High Definition Mobile Projector/ TV that could provide large screen HD TV experience to a billion people in energy starved China and India. In the U.S. and Europe, it could easily replace millions of power hungry LCD/Plasma TVs in every room.
  • High Definition Mobile Projector/ TV that could provide large screen HD TV experience on the ceiling for late night video or movie watching from the comfort of your bed.  In the U.S. and Europe, it could easily replace millions of power hungry LCD/Plasma TVs in every bedroom.
Example of social paradigm shift would be: “the dramatic changes in the way, and how often, we view and share multi-media information at work and at play, and network [and collaborate] with associates, friends and family.”

Since the beginning of 2007, Microvision has accomplished quite a few major milestones on its way to becoming a well managed and financially sound company with a technologically feasible product line. Microvision has now partnered with some world class technology companies [including Motorola and Corning] to commercially bring the most disruptive [and paradigm shifting] product line to the market that consists of billions of potential users worldwide.

That’s a mouthful, so let’s break it up in order to make some logical sense and explain where I am going with this…

Microvision’s core PicoP technology is weaved into five product offerings…
  1. Vehicle Displays: for better driving experience and safety in automobiles. http://www.microvision.com/vehicle_displays/index.html
  2. PicoP Projector Displays: brings big screen to small devices. Project up to 80” HD color projection for applications such as streaming video, movies, digital TV, high resolution photographs, and surfing the net. http://www.microvision.com/pico_projector_displays/index.html
  3. Wearable Displays: a see-through, high-resolution display platform that enables lightweight and fashionable eyewear displays for mobile devices. Color Eyewear platform allows mobile users to access their personal content and services while keeping their vision of the outside world free and clear, letting mobile users stay on the move. http://www.microvision.com/wearable_displays/mobile.html
  4. Military Displays: is used across various branches of the U.S. Military including the U.S. Army, Air Force, and U.S. Army Reserve. http://www.microvision.com/wearable_displays/military.html
  5. Barcode Scanners: features a patent-pending, low-cost, shock-resistant, silicon MEMS scanning mirror engine. http://www.microvision.com/barcode/index.html
As the saying goes on Wall Street: “Always Do Your Homework before Investing in the Latest Technology”!

The second rule [first being “killer apps”] to investing in emerging technology is simple: “Do your homework and your own due diligence. Before you invest, analyze the entire industry and the company carefully—and don’t buy the stock just because it’s the next big thing.”

The PicoP display engine can be embedded in hundreds of different products representing a huge market share for entire product line-up. It has the potential of adding billions of new dollars to Microvision—expanding what I like to call the “halo effect” from the PicoP display modules to the rest of Microvision product line. That’s why I’m so excited about the PicoP Projector code named SHOWwx that is getting ready for release in 2009…and that it will have a major ripple effect for the rest of Microvision products.

In summary…

Microvision has “killer apps”.

Each of the five commercial products that Microvision is offering [or will be offering soon] use at its core the PicoP display engine technology that has the potential to cause massive paradigm shift in its own space of product applications.

Anant Goel
http://www.wealthbyoptions.com/

Real Time Investor Relations

©Anant Goel
August 21, 2007

Communications has always been an important part of any successful person or business, and ways to communicate have certainly progressed over the past 100 years: from postal mail to e-mail, from telegraph to the telephone, and from fax broadcast to the web-cast.

And as our world becomes increasingly Internet-driven, it is becoming more and more important for a business, for example, to reach its customers, business partners and investors in a fast, efficient and cost effective manner. Companies that recognize the need to communicate frequently, efficiently and fast with its customers, partners and investors will prosper and be the leaders in their industry. Those that are slow to adapt will ultimately lose their competitive edge and disappear…or just be a laggard in their sector at best.

What a difference a few strands of fiber and a prism of light can make to change the destiny of human race, and your business, in the new millennium.

With Internet users doubling every 200 days, it is only a matter of time when the investors of publicly traded companies would demand “real time” information about the company’s business affairs. Most active investors have Internet access and they prefer to do their own due diligence. This, by the very nature of the need for real time information, makes me believe: “The days of “canned” Press Releases are over. And the progressive, dynamic, and visionary companies will embrace the Internet for disseminating real time business information to their investors.”

I don’t know about you, but I feel that most public companies need to come out of the dark ages of faxes, voice-on-demand, and “canned” Press Releases. Companies that web-cast, for example, have taken a giant step ahead, but I still feel that the corporate management still needs to move ahead to embrace us, the individual minority investors, in the open forum of Internet with trust and truth?

The studies indicate that by the end of year 2007, there will be over 1 billion Internet users. That means, most all of the educated population of the world, will be globally connected by the Internet. And the boundaries of time and space will disappear. People will gather in public forums of their common interests, stock message board at YAHOO, to network and share information. These people will be the investors, customers, vendors, friends, enemies, management, or employees of the public companies. In a public forum like this, that allows us to maintain our anonymity, there will be no place to hide for the incompetent or the unscrupulous.

Those companies that recognize the evolution of Internet, and have the vision to recognize its far-reaching impact on traditional business models, can capitalize from the revolution and not be its victim. Companies that fail to embrace the Real Time nature of globally connected New World Economy of the Internet will slowly disappear… cut down to nothing by the competition… or be acquired. Massive changes are taking place in the way business is done and investments are made today. You can embrace the changes and go with the flow, to capitalize and gain from it, or be a victim of the change itself. Choices are simple but the impact will be massive. The real time information, traveling at the speed of light to billion(s) of informed and educated potential investors and customers around the globe, can very quickly take your company to higher levels of financial success or, on the flip side, simply cut it down to size forever.

Two years ago I came to Microvision (NASDAQ: MVIS) message board at YAHOO looking for investor/user feedback to Microvision technology, products and services. What I noticed was a total lack of factual information and lots of BS posts by unscrupulous characters. Some of us took the risk and devoted our time to research, review, and write the facts about Microvision and articulated the investment opportunities offered by MVIS stock. It takes lot of time and energy to do that. And lately it really got harder and harder to gather useful information, because Microvision was firing on many different fronts and that information would easily get mixed-up to make any sense.

Microvision has made lots of progress over the last two years. But Microvision is not fully appreciated, or recognized, by the investment community. May be that’s because of the antiquated dark-age communications media that the management [of the past] chose to get the message out. However, that could be changing and may be now the minority investors, for example, can realize the true value of their undervalued asset in MVIS stock. Microvision management took a giant step when they held the first web cast [investor conference call] almost two years ago and recently started to open-up and communicate with the investors, employees, customers and vendors in real time. And we hope that is the beginning of openness and sharing of the truth with integrity and trust. Openness and sharing truth with integrity are important to investors, both large and small.

In summary: “please keep up the good work on your business execution and on active investor relations. However, embrace the Internet—more aggressively and frequently— to communicate with your minority investors in real time”.

Anant Goel

Monday, March 9, 2009

A Millionaire for the Price of a Donut and Cup of Coffee

© Anant B. Goel

“The difference between a millionaire and poverty lies in a person's determination to succeed, savings habit and power of compounding.”

You see your neighbors always dressed in designer clothes, frequently eat at fancy restaurants, order bottles of top-shelf wines, and have midsummer night's dream party in their manicured backyard. Eyeing their shiny, silver SUV in the driveway and their new kitchen and family room addition, you think, "How can they afford that? What am I doing wrong?"

Anxiety over how our financial lives compare to others' is a well documented natural human reaction and is the subject of a recent book, "Green with Envy: Why Keeping Up with the Joneses is Keeping Us in Debt," by journalist Shira Boss. "How we fit in and how we measure up are such an integral part of our financial well-being," she says. "We construct a fantasy world around those who have more money, and glorify their lives."

However, more and more people around us truly seem to be living the good life -- at least in a material sense -- thanks partly to the democratization of credit and unprecedented levels of consumer debt. This prompts increasing speculation about how they can afford it. The reality is simple: Some of them can't, at least not without going into debt. But on the other hand, many have really become financially wealthy by frugal savings and investing wisely.

In this country of ours, there is no reason why everyone can't retire a millionaire. This is quite a sad thought when one stops to consider that the majority of people that are retired are doing so below poverty levels. It is time to take your future and destiny into your own hands and not be one of those poor souls looking back on life at all the squandered possibilities with a handful of “what ifs?” The time to start is now. Cut back, for example, on that “Donut and a Starbuck Coffee” every morning, and treat yourself to the ultimate gift – a secure future as a millionaire.

The biggest mistake most people make is that they think they have to start with tens of thousands of dollars to make big money. They suffer from the "not enough" mentality; namely that if they aren't making $1,000 or $5,000 investments at a time, they will never become rich. What these people don't realize is that entire armies are built one soldier at a time; so too is their financial portfolios.

Someone once told me, this is a true story, how this 30 year old man who saved about $3.50 dollars a day by foregoing that “Donut and Cup of Coffee” a day and became a multi-millionaire when he retired at age 50. This man saved $3.50 per day despite it never being more than a few dollars at a time. Now, his portfolio is worth millions upon millions of dollars, all of which was built upon small investments. I am not suggesting you become this frugal, but the lesson is still a valuable one. Do not despise the day of small beginnings!

In this article, we're going to touch on three subjects simultaneously: saving, determination, and the power of compounding. Summed up, this is a wake-up call to achieving your goals of financial independence. Hopefully it will serve to assist in regaining your focus on the big picture, should you become distracted.

Having gone through the process myself and practiced the art of saving and investing for over 20 years, I found one primary question kept rising time after time, namely “How much money do I need to get started in trading or investing?” As a matter of fact, it was the belief that the individual may not have enough money to start with that often prevents them from ever getting started. The old adage that “it takes money to make money” is only partially true. More often than not it is throwing fear aside and getting started that is the catalyst to success.

The best way to illustrate how small savings, determination to succeed and the miracle of compounding can make you rich is to recreate the success story of this 30 year old that became a multi-millionaire when he retired at age 50. The story goes, as I recall, this 30 year old started out by saving a few dollars here and there to simply scrape up the $2,500 minimum necessary to open an options margin account, hardly a hefty sum compared to many. He went on to learn stock and derivatives trading and scrimped and saved for 12 months to get that amount of $2,500 going. He quit smoking cigarettes and cut back on his daily Donut and Coffee in order to achieve his goal of saving $2,500 (talk about determination!). He also cut back on lunches at work, opting to pack a lunch rather than go out. But within his allotted time frame he managed to get the money together and accomplish his goal. His mantra was a quote by Mahatma Gandhi: "Every worthwhile accomplishment, big or little, has its stages of drudgery and triumph; a beginning, a struggle and a victory."

He then started trading small. He learned the stock and derivatives trading strategy by which he could make an estimated 3% a month with very little risk compared to most stock trades. He had his share of growing pains and an occasional surprise loss; however, he did not give up and continued to strive for knowledge and education wherever he could find it.

About 10 years after he took off with his maiden trade, he had surpassed the $200,000 mark and kept going strong. You see, this type of success is possible for almost anyone who has the determination, will power, and patience. He certainly sped up his learning curve by years by attending on-line investing courses and learning about trading tools, but he had the drive to succeed that I have found to be more important that brains, genetics, background or luck. After a few bull and bear markets, I last heard he was now up to over $7 million in about 20 years effort. Not bad for someone using $2,500 in savings to open an account and just adding $100 dollars a month [the cost of a Donut and Coffee per day] for the next 20 years!

Another key ingredient to his success was that he did not let the greed factor take over his psyche. You must have a certain amount of greed and desire for success to want to learn trading options. But he never started to get the lottery or Vegas mentality to take over his judgment. As long as you know that the lottery, Vegas or impulsive trades are simply a tax on people who are bad at math, you should stay humble. The key for him, as for Warren Buffet and you, is compounding.

Compounding is just a fancy word for the profits you make on the profits made on the original principal. Albert Einstein once said, "The most powerful force in the universe is compound interest." Compounding is the key to financial success as a conservative trader. Warren Buffet does not sell his stocks, but rather hedges with options, as he does not want to pay capital gains tax that would lower his compounding rate of return.

If you are just starting to trade, undecided about trading or are already well off but want more, take this simple example as a motivational tool by which to visualize your future, and make it happen. No matter how strapped for money you are, if you have $2,500 in starting capital and can save $3.50 a day, you too can become a multi-millionaire in a few years time. Depending on what statistic one uses, the average return for a passive investor sitting on stocks is 12% a year. However, with a little knowledge about trading, covered calls, and other option strategies you should have little trouble bumping this number up conservatively to 3% a month. You would be surprised at what this comes to. A mere $3.50 a day is more than $100 a month saved. I know people who somehow manage to fritter away more than $100 a day some days, and regularly spend over $100 a month on beer and cigarettes. But saving $1,200 a year (that’s less than $3.50 a day) it is possible by everyone if you want your goal of becoming a multi-millionaire bad enough.

Save $3.57 a day x 7 days a week = $100 a month
+ additional $100 saved a month
= $200 per month
x 12 months in a year
= $2,500 approximate

Do the Math:
With your yield of 3% per month and with a monthly deposit of $100 and with an initial savings amount of $ $2,500, you are looking for a Final Amount of $7 million in about 20 years. Keep reading and you will see how?

Time Value of Money:
One of the fundamental principles of finance is the concept that $1 today is more valuable than $1 a year from now. The reason for this is two-fold. First, a dollar will probably buy less goods and services in the future due to the destructive force of inflation. Second, if I have the dollar in my hand today, I can invest it and earn a return in the form of dividends, interest or capital gains.

I have used the above example to help illustrate this point. Let’s assume that you are determined to become a multi-millionaire in the next 20 years, have a starting capital of $2,500, you found a way to save $3.50 a day and have taken some time out to learn how to invest in stock derivatives to conservatively make 3% a month on a consistent basis, then you truly are on your way.

Using one of the time values of money formulas, you can calculate the real economic cost of not investing the small amount of cash on regular basis.

Here’s the formula…

FV = PV * (1 + i )N + PMT * [ ( ( 1 + i )N - 1 ) / i ]

FV = future value (maturity value)
PV = present value
PMT = payment per period
i = interest rate in percent per period
N = number of periods

To perform the calculation, you have to make a few assumptions. First, let’s assume that you are 30 years old (and hence 20 years away from becoming a multi-millionaire at age 50). It also means that the initial investment of $2,500 and a monthly saving of $100 per month will compound for 20 years. Therefore, we will substitute 240 months [20 years] for “n” in the equation.

Next, we must establish your expected rate of return. Historically, the stock market has returned 12%. If you want to invest in bonds, your return will be lower. Assume that you invest in a combination of conservative stock derivatives strategy and expect to earn a 3% rate of return per month. This will be substituted for the “i” variable in our equation as 0.03.

The “PV”, or present value, is the value of the single amount you want to invest (in this case $2,500). The “PMT”, or payment per period, is the monthly investment [in this case $100] that you have managed to save from cutting out your morning Donut and cup of Coffee.

Now that we’ve figured out the variables, the formula looks like this: FV = $2,500 (1+.03)240 + $100 [((1+.03)240 -1)/.03].

This is how you do it on your calculator…

Enter 1.03 into your calculator (this is the sum of 1+.03). Raise this to the 240th power. The result is 1,204.85. Multiply the 1,204.85 by the “PV” of $2,500. The result ($3,012,130 and change) is the true value of investing wisely the $2,500 today.

Now, let’s calculate the future value of saving and investing $100 per month for the next 20 years. Enter 1.03 into your calculator (this is the sum of 1+.03). Raise this to the 240th power. The result is 1,204.85. Subtract 1 from 1,204.85 to get 1,203.85. Divide 1,203.85 by 0.03 to get 40,128.34. Multiply the 40,128.34 by the “PMT” of $100. The result ($4,012,840 and change) is the true value of investing wisely the $100 per month for the next 20 years.

Now add the two figures [$3,012,130 plus $4,012,840] to get a total of $7,024,970. Even if you adjust for inflation, it would probably work out to be over $3 million in today’s dollars.

Clearly, this $7 million dollars in 20 years may not be enough to retire but armed with this knowledge, you are free to make an economic decision; namely, would you prefer to have your “Donut and Starbuck Coffee’ every morning or have over $7 million in the bank in the future. The answer is entirely personal. Once you understand this concept, however, it becomes painfully obvious that the small luxury items you think nothing of are really costing you millions and millions of dollars in future wealth.

I hope this article served its purpose by helping you to appreciate the value of small savings, determination to succeed, the miracle of compounding, and firmly establish this time value of money concept in your head. The key to financial prosperity is realizing the potential value of every dollar that comes into your hands. In fact, I think of cash as a seed – you can either eat it (spend it) or invest it (sow it).

It is time to take your future and destiny into your own hands. The time to start is now. Cut back on some of the Christmas spending, give-up smoking, or cut back on those Donuts and Starbuck Coffee and treat your-self to the ultimate gift – a secure future. Get some education on investing, learn a few trading tools and forget the excuses for not starting now.

“Human beings, by changing the inner attitudes of their minds, can change the outer aspects of their lives.” By William James

Anant B. Goel
www.wealthbyoptions.com